When we really don’t Know what we think we Know

Have you ever listened to a comment that you just could not comprehend how anyone could believe what they were saying? I know I have. I also know that I have had opinions and did not hesitate to state them and later finding I was incorrect had no way to go back and correct it. An observation that is so often the reality is that someone will lock in on a belief after discovering what they feel is a good answer and it makes them comfortable. Their investigation will stop. Little thought goes into any other side of the story. Mental and sometimes physical comfort is what human nature generally searches for. Once achieved we don’t want our boat of comfort rocked. We are sailing along in the tranquil waters not remotely aware of the possibility of an underlying iceberg. If someone tells us that they all melt before they reach this area, we believe them. We are comfortable.

There’s a rumble and the boat shakes. We start to fall forward reaching for anything we can get our hands on. We see water rushing in and our feet are getting wet. The water continues to rise as the boat begins to on settle slowly into the icy water. We no longer are on our comfortable ride and we have no time left to go back and alter our course.

Things that are not visible or that we are not ready to comprehend will sneak up and surprise us when we least expect it. We often wonder why. We might become upset with someone or even our self. We might wonder what were the odds of that happening. In the world of science we work to disprove an idea. If we cannot prove it wrong, then we assume it is true and start promoting the theory as a fact. The problem with this type of thinking or problem solving is when we work to disprove the truth, we also can start believing it is true because we haven’t disproven it yet. Just because someone cannot disprove something does not make it true.

One can win the lottery assuming you buy a ticket. If you were to check the odds of winning you would probably not go and pick out your new car or house quit yet. Your chances of winning the Powerball lottery with one ticket are 1 out of 175 million or 1 chance out of 175 to the 9th power. However, it has been proven that somebody will eventually win. In the world of numbers using the globally accepted Borel’s Law of odds, states that for the odds of anything to happen it must be just a little better than 1 chance out of 10 to the 50th power. Yup that’s 50 zeros not 9 zeros. However, with that said, one could argue that it also gives leeway for something to be true if it falls below that 1 chance in 10 to the 50th power. However, anything worse than that would be mathematically impossible. Dr. Harold Morowitz of Yale estimates that for the simplest life form to have happened the odds would be 1 chance out of 10 to the 340,000,000 power and Dr. Carl Sagan of Cornell, one of the worlds leading supporter of evolution has stated that the odds of evolution happening are even narrower giving it 1 chance out of 10 to the 200,000,000,000th power. If the odds of winning the lottery were the same would you play it?

If we only really knew what we think we know.

What do you believe? Were we created or did we evolve? Don’t sit on the sidelines and all of a sudden be faced with the ice below the surface of the water while you are cruising through life. Check it out. Make sure that hidden ice below the surface is not there. Make sure you know your future.

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